Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 2.302624 2.437101 2.583101 2.754933 2.953754 3.179351 3.458953
2025-07-27 2.167747 2.334958 2.523996 2.757307 3.043283 3.391014 3.861237
2025-08-03 2.081047 2.267829 2.484861 2.761850 3.116190 3.571179 4.233986
2025-08-10 1.975160 2.166041 2.391190 2.684004 3.068009 3.577662 4.356549
2025-08-17 1.916412 2.114639 2.351949 2.666498 3.089728 3.671614 4.609992
2025-08-24 1.868433 2.072114 2.318948 2.651366 3.108572 3.757086 4.856454
2025-08-31 1.828209 2.036105 2.290660 2.638184 3.125442 3.836261 5.099310
2025-09-07 1.807256 2.022159 2.288316 2.657285 3.186122 3.983549 5.485568
2025-09-14 1.746400 1.955361 2.214583 2.574731 3.092587 3.877302 5.368658
2025-09-21 1.719365 1.930205 2.193477 2.562526 3.100156 3.931481 5.571994
2025-09-28 1.682017 1.890538 2.151687 2.519248 3.057930 3.898767 5.588175
2025-10-05 1.684038 1.900829 2.175204 2.567028 3.153902 4.102490 6.145414
2025-10-12 1.692756 1.920588 2.212701 2.637516 3.291821 4.399747 7.037364
2025-10-19 1.676283 1.906632 2.203828 2.639902 3.320974 4.502224 7.475370
2025-10-26 1.661977 1.894817 2.197021 2.644248 3.352258 4.609844 7.965308
2025-11-02 1.621756 1.847851 2.140854 2.573515 3.256082 4.460997 7.626592
2025-11-09 1.602960 1.828738 2.122268 2.557707 3.249717 4.487374 7.847865
2025-11-16 1.586004 1.811575 2.105735 2.544042 3.245578 4.516443 8.083932
2025-11-23 1.570594 1.796043 2.090907 2.532138 3.243236 4.547699 8.335029
2025-11-30 1.566428 1.795159 2.095969 2.549741 3.290734 4.683615 9.015534
2025-12-07 1.530515 1.751297 2.040512 2.474287 3.175987 4.472095 8.307082
2025-12-14 1.517777 1.738239 2.027678 2.463205 3.171490 4.492704 8.511807
2025-12-21 1.495645 1.712299 1.996489 2.423563 3.116637 4.404411 8.278404